Expected Return
The expected return can be calculated using the CAPM model. Expected return means what investors are expecting from investing in the shares of a company (Reed, 2020). It can be calculated using the following formula:
CAPM = Rf + Beta * (Rm – Rf)
Where,
Rf = Risk-free return on government securities (Australian government 10-year bond yield)
Beta = systematic risk to the security
Rm = Market rate of return on this security or average of returns
Santos Limited
Rf = 3.65% (as per Bloomberg record for 10-year Australian Government Bond)
The beta of Santos Limited = 1.986
Rm = 2.32% (as per workings in Santos Limited excel file)
CAPM = 3.65% + 1.986*(2.32%-3.65%)
= 4.306%
SOUTH32 Limited
Rf = 3.65% (as per Bloomberg record for 10-year Australian Government Bond)
The Beta of SOUTH32 Limited = 1.133
Rm = 1.144%
CAPM = 3.65% + 1.133*(1.144%-3.65%)
= 0.811%